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Need to Know: The election, Deutsche Bank and earnings stand in the way of this bullish trend

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Is it too early to celebrate the fourth quarter?

The S&P SPX, +0.80% just closed the door on yet another positive quarter — and now it’s the fourth quarter’s turn to deliver. If history is any indication, deliver it should. After all, the last three months of the year have averaged a gain of almost 4% over the past 70 years.

Recently, the outperformance has been even more pronounced. The October-December stretch has set the pace with gains, on average, of almost 7% since 2009, according to Bloomberg. That’s more than twice as strong as any other quarter.

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