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Here’s the problem Trumpcare and Obamacare share

Right before November’s presidential election, reports of spiking Affordable Care Act premiums were everywhere.

But House Republicans’ health care bill could suffer from the same problem, according to a new Congressional Budget Office analysis, which expects premiums in the individual health insurance market to increase before they go down.

Premiums in that market — which is distinct from employer health insurance, which covers a majority of Americans — should be, on average, 15% to 20% higher in 2018 and 2019 than under the ACA, the report found.

Read:Highlights of CBO’s score of Republican health bill

The reason comes down to the way the bill, or “Trumpcare,” tries to encourage healthy people to get insured.

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