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Outside the Box: This chart is a blunt reminder about the randomness of investment performance

Each and every year since I started this website, I’ve updated the following asset- allocation quilt:

For the second year in a row, each asset class on this chart was positive. 2017 was a good year for investors.

Looking at this list also serves as a reminder that next year the 2008 data will drop off the 10-year return numbers. So while the current 10-year numbers look pretty good, barring a market meltdown in 2018, the 10-year numbers at the end of this year are going to look fantastic for most of these markets.

To give you an idea, here are the nine-year annualized returns:

Investors who pick their holdings based exclusively on past performance are going be in heaven when they see these results — which will likely lead to disappointment for many.

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