The Margin: Bank on it? UBS predicts Germany will win World Cup

Proving once again that bank analysts get bored just doing financial analyses, forecasters at Swiss-based UBS are predicting the winner of the upcoming World Cup — and it’s Germany.

In a lengthy note issued Thursday by UBS Investment Research, the defending World Cup champions were forecast to come out on top again, following exhaustive research by a team of 18 analysts and 10,000 computer simulations of the tournament. The analysts used factors such as team strength, qualification record and past World Cup performance.

The report gives Germany a 24% likelihood of winning, followed by Brazil at 19.8% and Spain at 16.1%.

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