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The Tell: Why Merkel’s immigration deal isn’t as good as it seems

German Chancellor Angela Merkel struck a last-minute immigration deal to hold her government together. However, the agreement could mean bad news for both Germany’s leader and the European Union in the long run, according to a recent Eurasia Group research note.

Merkel and her interior minister Horst Seehofer of the Christian Social Union, one of Merkel’s coalition parties, reached an agreement on late Monday that kept him from resigning, the coalition from falling and Germany from going back to the polls. At least for now. Seehofer had previously been an outspoken critic of Merkel’s handling of the European immigration influx.

Part of Monday’s deal was to establish “transit centers” close to Germany’s border with Austria, which will deal with refugees whose asylum status is in question.

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