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Earnings Outlook: Trade war, tariffs and inflation will be the big worries this earnings season

The second-quarter earnings season will start in earnest on Friday with the first reports from big U.S. banks and investors are expecting the overall numbers to be strong.

The FactSet blended year-over-year per-share earnings growth rate estimate for the S&P 500, which combines results for those companies that have reported (companies with a fiscal quarter that ended in May) with those still to come, stood at 20.0% on Wednesday, above the 18.8% growth shown in the first quarter.

The blended growth rate for sales stood at 8.4%, compared with the 7.8% rate posted for the first quarter.

But against a backdrop of trade war concerns, rising inflation, a stronger dollar and tensions with many of America’s closest allies, companies are likely to be cautious in offering guidance.

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